The Forecasting Mistake That Costs You Funding

The founder walked into the investor meeting with confidence, maybe too much of it. The slides were tight, the story compelling, and when it came time to talk numbers, they delivered the classic line: “The market is worth $4 billion. If we capture just 2.5%, we’ll hit $100 million in revenue within four years.”

There was a pause. And not the kind you want. READ MORE

How AI is disrupting the VC and startup ecosystem

The startup playbook that built Uber, Airbnb, and DoorDash is becoming obsolete in real-time. As AI compresses jobs that once required hundreds of employees into algorithms, we’re witnessing the birth of a new company archetype—capital-efficient, immediately profitable, and surprisingly small. With a variety of software to use for all aspects of building a business—from Shopify for e-commerce to Stripe for payments—and low operating costs, innovation just keeps making everything that much more efficient. READ MORE

VC Is Down — But Private Placements for Post-IPO Companies Are Up

Investors, particularly hedge funds, are doing a paltry number of venture capital deals. In fact, only a few managers have made more than one or two investments this month — even after a quiet first quarter.


But hedge funds — especially those that specialize in life sciences and biopharma investments — are active in the post-IPO private placement market. Listed companies use private placements to raise additional capital from accredited investors such as mutual funds. (Securities law requires that these deals be marked at the stock’s closing price when the private placement is completed.) READ MORE

Today's Biggest Companies Are Acting Like VCs. Here's Why Startup Founders Need to Pay Attention.

A few years ago, if you asked a founder what they thought about corporate capital, the answer would've been simple: slow, bureaucratic and not worth the effort unless they're trying to acquire you. But that's not how it works anymore.

We're now seeing a shift that, frankly, would've seemed strange a decade ago — large corporations acting like VCs. They're not just launching "innovation labs" for show, but building full-blown venture arms, growth studios and capital teams that operate with the same urgency and risk appetite you'd find inside a fund. READ MORE

US M&A volume to rise just 1% this year amid tariffs

The U.S. has begun negotiations with several nations that on April 9 were granted a 90-day reprieve from high reciprocal tariffs, according to the White House. Baseline tariffs of 10% on goods from most U.S. trade partners remain in place, as do 145% duties on imports from China.

“President Trump’s sweeping tariff announcements in early April have caused a material shift in the global economic and financial outlook,” the EY report said. READ MORE

Private Equity In Flux: How Tariffs, AI And Infrastructure Define A New Investment Era

The private equity landscape is experiencing transformative changes due to evolving market dynamics and the new U.S. presidential administration. Political shifts usher in a wave of both risks and opportunities that firms must adeptly navigate to sustain their competitive edge and seize emerging trends.

Investor confidence has fluctuated due to recent economic changes. Initially, there was a confident boost as investors anticipated stability and clarity from the new leadership. However, the reality of the Trump administration’s policies has introduced new uncertainties, particularly regarding tariffs and regulatory changes. READ MORE

VC Math Is Still Broken And It’s Going to Stymie Innovation

What is a venture capital firm supposed to do when it can’t generate enticing enough returns for its limited partners—the pension funds, family offices and sovereign wealth funds that supply cash to VCs to invest in startups? 

Does it hand back $275 million to its LPs, as the Bay Area’s CRV did late last year, citing fewer investment opportunities for mature startups? Does it perhaps follow the examples of Seqouia and Y Combinator by laying off staff in the downside of the industry-wide boom in 2021?  READ MORE

Venture Debt Now a Key Funding Avenue, Significant Funds Attracted by Fintech

Venture debt has risen to be a key financing tool, complementing the likes of venture capital (VC), private equity (PE), and other similar asset classes by extending non-dilutive capital, allowing startups to leverage funds for diversified growth, according to a report released today by Stride Ventures in collaboration with management consultant firm Kearney, titled the 'The Global Venture Debt Report 2025'.

Venture debt deals with credit-based financing products that apply specifically to PE-VC backed early-stage startups, growth stage, or even late-stage in their trajectory. READ MORE

Venture capital spending topped $4.5B in Q1

I’ve got a dose of optimistic news for you this morning: From a venture capital perspective, the first quarter wasn’t so bad!

Preliminary data from PitchBook suggests that the quarter saw roughly $4.5 billion in VC spending, with half of that coming from Binance’s deal with Abu Dhabi’s MGX. To put that figure into context, we saw a little over $2 billion per quarter last year. READ MORE

University Endowments Under Pressure: The Ripple Effect On Venture Capital

University endowments have long been the bedrock of venture capital funding in the United States, providing reliable and substantial capital to fuel innovation and entrepreneurship. However, a convergence of regulatory, social, and economic pressures is now threatening this critical relationship, with potentially far-reaching consequences for the venture capital industry as a whole. READ MORE

MBAs are launching venture capital funds to back their classmates.

Seven members of HBS's class of 2025 have collectively raised close to $1 million for a class fund they're calling Twenty25 Ventures.

The fund is built through contributions from the graduating class and will invest solely in startups founded by peersan investment structure that's taking off at business schools as students look to find footing in a traditionally rarefied funding ecosystem. READ MORE

Venture capital takes the Capitol

When Teresa Carlson was running Amazon’s public sector cloud business in the 2010s, she said she tried to get venture capital engaged in Washington policy conversations. After all, VC invested in the tech that would work on the cloud to serve the government.

“They didn’t really back then,” Carlson told us recently. “It was like, ‘Really? Why?’”

It’d be hard to argue that’s still the case. READ MORE

Deal Momentum Cautiously Builds At The Nexus Of AI And Real Estate

Real estate is often the largest asset people own. But when it comes to venture investment, giant bets in the space often don’t work out.

The list of failures and underperformers from the frothy investment period a few years ago includes many exceptionally well-funded real estate plays. Examples include WeWork, ibuyers such as Opendoor and Offerpad, and construction industry disruptors like Veev and Katerra. READ MORE